John Kennedy, the songwriter behind LeAnn Rimes's "Probably Wouldn't Be This Way" and other hits, was Collins' first co-write in Nashville. The result of that first write was this song, "Guess I Woulda Known By Now." "I think he had the title idea and we just started playing around with different chords on the guitar and the melody just kinda came," Collins said, "and we were like, ‘Okay, this is something special.’"
And it was, not just as a song, but as a career-defining moment for Collins. One of the first people she met down in Nashville was Clay Myers, her now-publisher. When she sent the song to Myers, he decided to take a chance on her. "Ultimately, [that song] was what got me my publishing and artist development deal with MV2 Entertainment," Collins said.
The song has become bigger than just a three minute ballad. The message behind the track has resonated with many people, including a friend, who Collins said thinks she wrote the song about her. "At the time I wrote this song, I didn’t realize how much I was writing it based on my own experiences in relationships, cause I’ve been guilty of being that girl," Collins said. "I think that’s why this song connects with people so much, because it’s not blaming the guy in the song, it’s about self-realization, and having the strength to realize that maybe it’s not going to happen the way that you want it to, accepting that and moving on."
With this song, and with all of her music, Collins just wants to bring a relatable music experience to people. "I know that if I’ve been through something, someone else has too, so I try to write about my personal experiences," Collins said. "I want to bring that in a fresh, yet super country way, to country radio."